
Volume
$70K
Txns
957
Traders
242
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 71%$5.46Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.4Mvolume
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 98%$1.03Mvolume
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 95%$1.37Mvolume
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 80%$1.36Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -6,512.65 | $6.51K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +1,512.65 | $1.51K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | d2600 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -103.01 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.1¢ | -154.80 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -257.81 | $258 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.92 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.61 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.40 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.49 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | alilili1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +521.10 | $0.52 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.73 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.83 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.28 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.71 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.40 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +57.04 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.18 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.47 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.08 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | luuuur | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 |
1–25