Will Stephen Curran win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?

A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of North Vancouver—Capilano is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).