
Volume
$152K
Txns
2,327
Traders
284
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the ninth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the ninth launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 58%$545Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Yes 99%$820Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 63%$1.16Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
No 89%$483Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 83%$730Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Yes 96%$414Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | strudelbariu | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.40 | $5.39 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.40 | $5.39 | |
| 1y | CrushingIt | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,141.62 | $1.14K | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | Yes / 99.9¢ | +141.62 | $141 | |
| 1y | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +123.00 | $123 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +123.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +177.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | kurosaki275 | No / 0.1¢ | -177.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | fead | No / 0.1¢ | +54.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | CANCEL | Yes / 99.7¢ | -10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1y | OhNoThatsBad | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Shekel | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +414.00 | $414 | |
| 1y | SweetChariot | Yes / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | CANCEL | Yes / 97.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.78 | |
| 1y | Mbug1717 | No / 2.3¢ | -66.23 | $1.52 | |
| 1y | Scrungey | Yes / 97.7¢ | -76.23 | $74.5 | |
| 1y | Mbug1717 | No / 0.9¢ | +2,222.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.1K | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.1K | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,256.49 | $1.26K | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,448.69 | $4.44K | |
| 1y | AscendancyLF | Yes / 99.9¢ | -52.20 | $52.1 |
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