
Volume
$28K
Txns
664
Traders
126
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the eighth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight re-enters the Earth's atmosphere without experiencing a rapid unscheduled disassembly (RUD). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the eighth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the eighth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the eighth launch, and this market will stay open until the eighth launch has occurred. If the eighth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." If it is unclear and/or cannot be determined whether the booster experienced RUD before or after re-entry, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 57%$319Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.2Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 83%$933Kvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 78%$5.32Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 84%$226Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 98%$146Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | khanoftruth | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -82.00 | $81.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +82.00 | $81.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | blyagha | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.3¢ | -53.00 | $52.6 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.4¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 1y | blyagha | Yes / 99.4¢ | +7.00 | $6.96 |
1–25