
Volume
$28K
Txns
664
Traders
126
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the eighth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight re-enters the Earth's atmosphere without experiencing a rapid unscheduled disassembly (RUD). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market pertains to the eighth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the eighth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the eighth launch, and this market will stay open until the eighth launch has occurred. If the eighth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." If it is unclear and/or cannot be determined whether the booster experienced RUD before or after re-entry, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 66%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Yes 52%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
No 60%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.00 | $7.99 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | oliman2 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | khanoftruth | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -91.00 | $90.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +80.00 | $79.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -82.00 | $81.9 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +82.00 | $81.9 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.9¢ | -120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +120.00 | $120 | |
| 1y | blyagha | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.98 | $20 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.3¢ | -53.00 | $52.6 | |
| 1y | Glued | Yes / 99.4¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 1y | blyagha | Yes / 99.4¢ | +7.00 | $6.96 |
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