
Volume
$455
Txns
43
Traders
21
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 60%$1.28Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 79%$1.45Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 62%$808Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 90%$1.32Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 93%$2.37Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 83%$940Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | Piperdoodle | No / 21.0¢ | +1.27 | $0.27 | |
| 5h | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | Yes / 79.0¢ | +1.27 | $1 | |
| 10h | Piperdoodle | No / 21.0¢ | +39.04 | $8.2 | |
| 10h | Divjo1 | No / 21.0¢ | -39.04 | $8.2 | |
| 10h | GonTanaka | Yes / 77.0¢ | +19.52 | $15 | |
| 10h | Divjo1 | No / 23.0¢ | +19.52 | $4.49 | |
| 15h | Letsgo-baby | Yes / 77.0¢ | -20.00 | $15.4 | |
| 15h | GonTanaka | Yes / 77.0¢ | +20.00 | $15.4 | |
| 15h | GonTanaka | Yes / 79.0¢ | -22.00 | $17.4 | |
| 15h | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 79.0¢ | +22.00 | $17.4 | |
| 15h | Letsgo-baby | Yes / 80.0¢ | +20.00 | $16 | |
| 15h | GonTanaka | Yes / 80.0¢ | -28.00 | $22.4 | |
| 15h | zxcursed121 | Yes / 80.0¢ | +8.00 | $6.4 | |
| 16h | wanhao3 | No / 12.0¢ | -12.00 | $1.44 | |
| 16h | 1walrus | No / 12.0¢ | +12.00 | $1.44 | |
| 16h | AJSV | No / 13.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.3 | |
| 16h | GonTanaka | Yes / 87.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.7 | |
| 16h | dengxiaojun | No / 14.4¢ | -20.00 | $2.88 | |
| 16h | zxcursed121 | No / 15.0¢ | +8.00 | $1.2 | |
| 16h | wanhao3 | No / 14.0¢ | +12.00 | $1.68 | |
| 16h | AJSV | No / 18.0¢ | +20.00 | $3.6 | |
| 16h | biznesmenumamy | No / 18.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.6 | |
| 17h | GonTanaka | Yes / 78.0¢ | +60.00 | $46.8 | |
| 17h | dengxiaojun | No / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.4 | |
| 17h | biznesmenumamy | No / 22.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.4 |
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