
Volume
$17K
Txns
206
Traders
85
Fees
$33
Liquidity
$18,224
Ends
Jul 15, 2026
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | lineadropme100kusd | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 2h | yuring | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 3h | yuring | No / 99.9¢ | +8.99 | $8.98 | |
| 3h | saywhrnf | No / 99.9¢ | -8.99 | $8.98 | |
| 6h | 49383 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 6h | saywhrnf | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 7h | saywhrnf | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 7h | Ryanwilson | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 8h | kaitemo | Yes / 0.5¢ | -23.22 | $0.12 | |
| 8h | Ryanwilson | Yes / 0.5¢ | -10.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8h | spaceloaf | No / 99.5¢ | -33.22 | $33 | |
| 11h | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.01 | $0 | |
| 11h | Ryanwilson | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11h | moonrise-clump | No / 99.8¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 14h | Ryanwilson | Yes / 0.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.04 | |
| 14h | prediction173 | No / 99.3¢ | -5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 15h | HerroFolkz | Yes / 0.1¢ | -756.75 | $0.76 | |
| 15h | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +756.75 | $0.79 | |
| 16h | kaitemo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +461.85 | $0.46 | |
| 16h | kaitemo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +619.62 | $0.62 | |
| 16h | Isaac80 | No / 99.9¢ | +461.85 | $461 | |
| 16h | Comet15 | No / 99.9¢ | +619.62 | $619 | |
| 16h | kaitemo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +466.03 | $0.93 | |
| 16h | ma99 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 16h | akunai | Yes / 0.3¢ | +44.86 | $0.13 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 92%$0volume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 98%$0volume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 55%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 90%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
No 84%$0volume