
Volume
$95K
Txns
2,609
Traders
810
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | pmtomoon | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | JoeTrum | No / 99.9¢ | +1,290.91 | $1.29K | |
| 6mo | ShackCHills | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +290.91 | $0.29 | |
| 6mo | WVkWRURBep | Yes / 0.1¢ | -461.00 | $0.46 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +249.34 | $0.25 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +84.09 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | 50cents | Yes / 0.1¢ | +127.57 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +339.80 | $339 | |
| 6mo | 50cents | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.80 | $0 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +335.00 | $0.34 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | StopGamblingNow | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +89.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | CosmicCedar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +4,320.00 | $4.32K | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +86.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,348.00 | $1.35 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +118.00 | $0.12 | |
| 6mo | xuanmiao | No / 99.9¢ | -1,800.00 | $1.8K | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +165.00 | $0.17 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.8¢ | +25.68 | $25.6 | |
| 6mo | Newbiao | Yes / 0.2¢ | +25.68 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$72.8Mvolume
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No 99%$11.2Mvolume
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China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
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Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
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