
Volume
$96K
Txns
1,937
Traders
627
Fees
$13
Liquidity
$13,569
Ends
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.15Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.82Mvolume
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
No 84%$59.3Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 83%$51.5Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$634Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 97%$225Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | beggarrr | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 2h | Paskobg | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.38 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -166.00 | $0.32 | |
| 3h | beggarrr | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | +166.00 | $0.33 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -166.00 | $0.32 | |
| 3h | beggarrr | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | +166.00 | $0.33 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -55.50 | $0.11 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -48.50 | $0.1 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -55.50 | $0.11 | |
| 3h | beggarrr | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | +166.52 | $0.35 | |
| 3h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | -7.02 | $0.01 | |
| 5h | Ironmandk | SpaceX / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 5h | sinazero | OpenAI / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 17h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.4¢ | -38.46 | $0.15 | |
| 17h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.3¢ | -5.06 | $0.02 | |
| 17h | qopp | SpaceX / 99.6¢ | +10.00 | $9.96 | |
| 17h | RATHMA4 | SpaceX / 99.6¢ | -100.02 | $99.6 | |
| 17h | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.4¢ | -46.50 | $0.19 | |
| 1d | sanbern | OpenAI / 0.1¢ | -8.69 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | sinazero | OpenAI / 0.1¢ | +8.69 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | ultralisk | OpenAI / 0.2¢ | +581.00 | $1.16 | |
| 1d | LuckyPierrot | SpaceX / 99.8¢ | +581.00 | $580 | |
| 1d | LuckyPierrot | SpaceX / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | OpenAI / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1d | 52adsa | OpenAI / 0.3¢ | +325.00 | $0.97 |
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