
Volume
$5K
Txns
52
Traders
13
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) is a measure of the cost of borrowing cash overnight, collateralized by US Treasury securities. SOFR is used to price loans, bonds, derivatives, and more. The SOFR rate is published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York each business day at 8:00 AM ET, for the previous business day. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes a daily SOFR rate (%) equal to or above the listed value for any business day between April 1 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the SOFR rate is equal to or above the listed value during the specified period, or when SOFR data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026. If no data is published for the final business day on or before April 30, 2026 by May 07, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Business day refers to any day treated as such by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +114.00 | $114 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.97 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +99.03 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | Porthos-The-Dawg | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 1mo | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1mo | 0xba2c...0f54d0 | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 1.0¢ | +40.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | tiredShip | No / 99.0¢ | +54.98 | $54.4 | |
| 1mo | tiredShip | No / 98.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 1mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | tiredShip | No / 98.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.9 | |
| 1mo | hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | Yes / 2.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | rar111 | No / 87.0¢ | +7.89 | $6.87 | |
| 1mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.02 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 14.0¢ | +6.87 | $0.96 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 15.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.75 | |
| 2mo | tiredShip | No / 85.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.25 | |
| 2mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 20.0¢ | +5.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 20.0¢ | +6.75 | $1.35 | |
| 2mo | rar111 | No / 80.0¢ | +11.75 | $9.4 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 19.0¢ | +13.50 | $2.56 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$21.8Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 56%$5.14Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 84%$1.71Mvolume