Will Slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question restoring the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency?

Voting in the 2026 Slovak referendum is currently scheduled to be held on July 4, 2026. Referendum question 2 asks whether to restore the Office of the Special Prosecutor and National Crime Agency. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Slovakia passes the specified referendum question. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum question is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If no qualifying vote on the specified referendum question is passed or the results of the specified referendum question are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified referendum question is scheduled to be held later than December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the vote on the specified referendum question is held and fails to reach the minimum voter turnout for result validity under Slovak law, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the Slovak government, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volbysr.sk/sk/referendova_otazka.html). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.