
Volume
$267
Txns
29
Traders
16
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.7¢ | -17.35 | $0.12 | |
| 11h | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 1.3¢ | -27.62 | $0.36 | |
| 11h | Howids | Yes / 0.8¢ | -20.00 | $0.16 | |
| 11h | SitsToPee | Yes / 1.2¢ | -29.96 | $0.36 | |
| 11h | imkindingyou | Yes / 1.1¢ | +94.93 | $1.05 | |
| 13h | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.3¢ | +17.35 | $0.05 | |
| 13h | sunderi | No / 99.7¢ | +17.35 | $17.3 | |
| 14h | SitsToPee | Yes / 1.2¢ | -2.04 | $0.02 | |
| 14h | YukIYukino86 | No / 98.7¢ | -2.04 | $2.01 | |
| 18h | SitsToPee | Yes / 1.0¢ | +32.00 | $0.32 | |
| 18h | flexer78 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -32.00 | $0.3 | |
| 18h | 0x7d64...4af001 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +12.95 | $0.14 | |
| 18h | choosename | No / 98.9¢ | +12.95 | $12.8 | |
| 18h | Howids | Yes / 1.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.24 | |
| 18h | choosename | No / 98.9¢ | +126.36 | $125 | |
| 18h | predictdogepepewif | Yes / 1.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.22 | |
| 18h | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 1.1¢ | +86.36 | $0.95 | |
| 22h | richyee | Yes / 1.9¢ | -30.00 | $0.57 | |
| 22h | flexer78 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +30.00 | $0.6 | |
| 22h | 0x483171724CA4E15C50e02864C5Db174B8067fb75-1782529774539 | No / 97.8¢ | +30.67 | $30 | |
| 22h | richyee | Yes / 2.2¢ | +30.67 | $0.67 | |
| 22h | flexer78 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +2.00 | $0.04 | |
| 22h | richyee | Yes / 1.9¢ | -2.00 | $0.04 | |
| 22h | richyee | Yes / 2.0¢ | +2.04 | $0.04 | |
| 22h | YukIYukino86 | No / 98.0¢ | +2.04 | $2 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 97%$4.34Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 70%$1.05Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 98%$2.87Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 90%$126Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
No 83%$101Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 94%$121Kvolume