Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$924K
Txns
1,046
Traders
246
Fees
$168
Liquidity
$17,916
Ends
Volume
$924K
Txns
1,046
Traders
246
Fees
$168
Liquidity
$17,916
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 85%$1.22Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 70%$1.37Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 95%$2.31Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Yes 95%$634Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 74%$1.1Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 52%$680Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | ilovecartoons | No / 96.3¢ | +2.08 | $2 | |
| 10h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.3¢ | -2.08 | $2 | |
| 10h | Haradwaith | No / 96.4¢ | -2.07 | $2 | |
| 10h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.4¢ | +2.07 | $2 | |
| 10h | ilovecartoons | No / 96.3¢ | +2.07 | $1.99 | |
| 10h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.3¢ | -2.07 | $1.99 | |
| 11h | Haradwaith | No / 96.4¢ | -2.07 | $2 | |
| 11h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.4¢ | +2.07 | $2 | |
| 11h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.3¢ | -2.07 | $1.99 | |
| 11h | ilovecartoons | No / 96.3¢ | +2.07 | $1.99 | |
| 11h | 0x2d56...59080c | No / 96.4¢ | +2.07 | $2 | |
| 11h | Haradwaith | No / 96.4¢ | -2.07 | $2 | |
| 12h | Haradwaith | No / 96.4¢ | -0.28 | $0.27 | |
| 12h | xiajun | Yes / 3.6¢ | -0.28 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | Crossroad | No / 96.1¢ | -1.07 | $1.03 | |
| 1d | muhammed671gamez | No / 96.1¢ | +1.07 | $1.03 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 96.1¢ | -5.20 | $5 | |
| 1d | muhammed671gamez | No / 96.1¢ | +5.20 | $5 | |
| 2d | PPMT | No / 94.8¢ | +2.11 | $2 | |
| 2d | iflame | No / 94.8¢ | -2.11 | $2 | |
| 2d | Haradwaith | No / 96.5¢ | -2.11 | $2.04 | |
| 2d | iflame | No / 96.5¢ | +2.11 | $2.04 | |
| 2d | Haradwaith | No / 95.4¢ | +66.59 | $63.5 | |
| 2d | pioneers2026 | No / 96.0¢ | +27.82 | $26.7 | |
| 2d | prose0128 | No / 96.0¢ | +21.66 | $20.8 |
1–25