Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
ResolvedVolume
$24K
Txns
410
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$24K
Txns
410
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 80%$1.71Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 72%$1.45Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 93%$1.54Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 56%$977Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 96%$2.53Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 99%$688Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x27073397f36410e5f7a565dEea70C00c8a979106-1774362024426 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | -12.01 | $12 | |
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +156.50 | $0.16 | |
| 1mo | watchmewhip | No / 99.9¢ | +200.20 | $200 | |
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.70 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.60 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | thjk | No / 99.9¢ | +53.60 | $53.5 | |
| 1mo | ;ihiyfkjhblui | No / 99.9¢ | +69.90 | $69.8 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.90 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | happyme | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1mo | uyhinj | No / 99.8¢ | -12.01 | $12 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +12.01 | $12 | |
| 1mo | hedgeit | No / 99.7¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0x303C2F753A58e99Fe06f3E9A6253382A9874aCf9-1772610694759 | No / 99.7¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.8¢ | +21.56 | $21.5 | |
| 1mo | ncy11990 | No / 99.8¢ | -21.56 | $21.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xCA6e449832C0f6077a1C7c25C47870bf3eBeAcfa-1776201276786 | No / 99.7¢ | -20.07 | $20 | |
| 1mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.7¢ | +10.00 | $9.97 | |
| 1mo | hedgeit | No / 99.7¢ | +10.07 | $10 | |
| 1mo | ncy11990 | No / 99.8¢ | -28.47 | $28.4 | |
| 1mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.2¢ | -28.47 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | -50.03 | $49.9 |
1–25