Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$4M
Txns
43,984
Traders
5,262
Fees
$4,143
Liquidity
$150,830
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Volume
$4M
Txns
43,984
Traders
5,262
Fees
$4,143
Liquidity
$150,830
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
Trades
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No 100%$2.06Mvolume
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$21Mvolume
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?
No 97%$157Kvolume
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11?
No 66%$102Kvolume
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
No 68%$1.36Mvolume
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?
Yes 99%$168Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27m | 0x17d3...b4d05c | No / 92.3¢ | +4.97 | $4.61 | |
| 27m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -4.97 | $4.59 | |
| 27m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -4.99 | $4.61 | |
| 27m | 0x5081913dd81F50E879969B946b5cecE79CB851E3-1774574105209 | No / 92.3¢ | +4.99 | $4.63 | |
| 27m | LucasMeow | No / 92.2¢ | +5.00 | $4.61 | |
| 27m | 0xA3af760e15e6B6bd3C43d8cf2AE6952F0a9bB7a6-1720875307802 | No / 91.7¢ | -5.00 | $4.58 | |
| 37m | 0x42a4...c09121 | No / 92.3¢ | +1.08 | $1.01 | |
| 37m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -1.08 | $1 | |
| 37m | 0xddd7...060827 | No / 92.3¢ | +1.09 | $1.02 | |
| 37m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -1.09 | $1.01 | |
| 37m | Applebili | No / 91.7¢ | -325.73 | $299 | |
| 37m | LucasMeow | No / 92.2¢ | +325.73 | $300 | |
| 39m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -134.11 | $124 | |
| 39m | ynsider | No / 92.3¢ | -13.40 | $12.4 | |
| 39m | wuwuyun | No / 92.3¢ | -6.55 | $6.05 | |
| 39m | Elias.Thornwell | No / 92.3¢ | +154.06 | $143 | |
| 45m | cxvzwq | No / 92.3¢ | +1.38 | $1.28 | |
| 45m | wuwuyun | No / 92.3¢ | -1.38 | $1.27 | |
| 1h | wuwuyun | No / 92.3¢ | -1.57 | $1.45 | |
| 1h | piotrzzcv | No / 92.3¢ | +1.57 | $1.46 | |
| 1h | wuwuyun | No / 92.3¢ | -1.08 | $1 | |
| 1h | 0x42a4...c09121 | No / 92.3¢ | +1.08 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | 0xddd7...060827 | No / 92.3¢ | +1.09 | $1.02 | |
| 1h | wuwuyun | No / 92.3¢ | -1.09 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | 0xcdc6...3331a5 | No / 92.3¢ | +1.63 | $1.51 |
1–25