
Volume
$39
Txns
19
Traders
7
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the individual who is officially announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga. If no individual is officially announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. If someone who isn’t listed in this market is announced as the successor to Demna as Creative Director of Balenciaga, this market will resolve to "Other". An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next Creative Director of Balenciaga. If multiple individuals are named as co-creative directors, this market will resolve to the listed option. If multiple listed options are named as co-creative directors, this market will resolve in favor of the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source will be public statements from Balenciaga.
Trades
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 97%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | No / 99.9¢ | +1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | infoowl | No / 99.9¢ | -1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | Bartdw | No / 50.0¢ | -1.60 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | infoowl | No / 50.0¢ | +1.60 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 19.0¢ | +4.00 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | Harshitj01 | Yes / 19.0¢ | -4.00 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | Harshitj01 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +4.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 25.0¢ | -4.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 16.0¢ | +1.61 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | Bartdw | No / 84.0¢ | +1.61 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | MichealKeohane | No / 84.0¢ | +3.49 | $2.93 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 16.0¢ | +3.49 | $0.56 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 30.0¢ | +10.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7 | |
| 1y | probability | Yes / 30.0¢ | +10.00 | $3 |
1–16