Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Warmińsko-Mazurskie?

This market will resolve to "Trzaskowski" if Rafał Trzaskowski receives more total votes than Karol Nawrocki in the listed district in the second round of the 2025 Polish presidential election. This market will resolve to "Nawrocki" if Karol Nawrocki receives more total votes than Rafał Trzaskowski in the listed district. If votes cast within the listed district are exactly equal for each candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. Only votes cast within the listed district will count for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Poland’s National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW), specifically the results for the listed region. If the results for the listed district are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until the final official totals are confirmed by a ruling from the Supreme Court and published in the Journal of Laws (Dziennik Ustaw). Official results can be found at: https://wybory.gov.pl/prezydent2025/en/wynik/pl