Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?
ResolvedVolume
$17,169
Txns
1,040
Traders
307
Fees
$54
Ends
Apr 29, 2026
Volume
$17,169
Txns
1,040
Traders
307
Fees
$54
Ends
Apr 29, 2026
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 100% · $66.7M volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
No 100% · $16.4M volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
No 100% · $20.5M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No 100% · $32.5M volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 92% · $2.77M volume
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
No 100% · $439K volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +10.17 | $10.2 | |
| 3h | x.o | No / 99.9¢ | +989.83 | $989 | |
| 3h | 0xA84A48b46e8Df696F44E7d28CbEA53a5EedC7fC7-1777169834891 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +999.96 | $1 | |
| 3h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -10.01 | $10 | |
| 3h | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 3h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -147.96 | $148 | |
| 3h | 0xC1f50db5c7060b7a8be40491359eBe57B34ec967-1768761412955 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.05 | $20 | |
| 3h | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +168.00 | $168 | |
| 3h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -52.63 | $52.6 | |
| 3h | dinoako | Yes / 0.1¢ | -52.63 | $0.05 | |
| 3h | 0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 | Yes / 3.8¢ | -26.32 | $1 | |
| 3h | dinoako | Yes / 3.8¢ | +26.28 | $1 | |
| 3h | 0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 | Yes / 3.8¢ | -26.32 | $1 | |
| 3h | dinoako | Yes / 3.8¢ | +26.28 | $1 | |
| 3h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 3h | Roalling | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 4h | cyfrav | Yes / 0.4¢ | -19.86 | $0.08 | |
| 4h | Bagyra | Yes / 3.8¢ | -181.25 | $6.89 | |
| 4h | S888 | Yes / 3.9¢ | -77.77 | $3.03 | |
| 4h | 0xaEbF03DD9876532a467A93934ecb5Bd2ECd33335-1776553477918 | Yes / 3.6¢ | +278.50 | $10 | |
| 4h | Bagyra | Yes / 3.8¢ | -26.32 | $1 | |
| 4h | 0xe6374f46c25133ce88Ac7dDc4C0e35308aaafb20-1773301323752 | Yes / 3.8¢ | +26.28 | $1 | |
| 4h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -7.79 | $7.78 | |
| 4h | Dr.mett | No / 99.9¢ | +7.79 | $7.78 | |
| 4h | gwagwa | No / 99.9¢ | -83.96 | $83.9 |
1–25