
Volume
$170K
Txns
7,791
Traders
2,232
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 12, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6) The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 99%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 90%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide…
No 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Krolik4545 | No / 99.9¢ | -101.10 | $101 | |
| 1y | ShelbyCompanyLtd | No / 99.9¢ | +101.10 | $101 | |
| 1y | ShelbyCompanyLtd | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | tigercager | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | tigercager | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +481.57 | $481 | |
| 1y | b3rtone | Yes / 0.2¢ | +700.00 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | helloboys | Yes / 0.2¢ | -18.43 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Raulwwt | No / 99.8¢ | -1.57 | $1.57 | |
| 1y | helloboys | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.57 | $0 | |
| 1y | MakerOne | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | B0nzie | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | jsorel | Yes / 0.1¢ | -453.65 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -453.65 | $453 | |
| 1y | wolfemily | No / 99.9¢ | +1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | qortiz | No / 99.9¢ | +1.49 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | ramirezamber | No / 99.9¢ | +1.54 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.54 | $1.54 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | meganyoung | No / 99.9¢ | +1.60 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | maryhebert | No / 99.9¢ | +1.44 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.96 | $1.96 |
1–25