Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

The 2024 São Paulo mayoral election is scheduled to take place on October 6. If no candidate receives a majority of votes, a runoff election will be held on October 27, 2024. This is a market asking who will be the ultimate victor. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pablo Marçal wins the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a runoff election is triggered and this candidate is no longer in consideration for Mayor of São Paulo, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If the election is delayed beyond December 31, 2024 ET, or the election is otherwise not held by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (www.tse.jus.br) and/or the official process by which electoral disputes are arbitrated in Brazil.