Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated screenplay whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.