
Volume
$17K
Txns
114
Traders
28
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2024
On Feb 14 it was reported that OpenAI was developing a web search product, partly powered by Bing (see https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-develops-web-search-product-in-challenge-to-google?rc=anrwip). It is unclear whether this product would be separate from ChatGPT. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI launches a specific web search product as referenced in the article by March 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the product must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or rolling waitlist signups. Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | tf2 | No / 98.0¢ | +8.43 | $8.26 | |
| 2y | rmb177 - 10132 | No / 98.0¢ | -8.43 | $8.26 | |
| 2y | pcottle | No / 88.0¢ | -175.44 | $154 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 12.0¢ | -175.44 | $21.1 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 11.0¢ | +4.70 | $0.52 | |
| 2y | rmrz | No / 89.0¢ | +4.70 | $4.18 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 11.0¢ | +50.15 | $5.52 | |
| 2y | 0xF759AA | No / 89.0¢ | +50.15 | $44.6 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 88.0¢ | +250.00 | $220 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 12.0¢ | +250.00 | $30 | |
| 2y | Tenable-Dome | No / 88.0¢ | -710.54 | $625 | |
| 2y | Anjun | No / 88.0¢ | +200.00 | $176 | |
| 2y | ANudeEgg | No / 88.0¢ | +5.50 | $4.84 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 88.0¢ | +283.04 | $249 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 12.0¢ | -222.00 | $26.6 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 11.0¢ | +11.24 | $1.24 | |
| 2y | miragist | No / 89.0¢ | +11.24 | $10 | |
| 2y | polymaster-166 | No / 89.0¢ | +3.37 | $3 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 11.0¢ | +3.37 | $0.37 | |
| 2y | pcottle | No / 89.0¢ | +73.03 | $65 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 11.0¢ | +73.03 | $8.03 | |
| 2y | ANudeEgg | No / 88.0¢ | -495.50 | $436 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 88.0¢ | +495.50 | $436 | |
| 2y | ANudeEgg | No / 89.0¢ | -4.49 | $4 | |
| 2y | Displacement | No / 89.0¢ | +4.49 | $4 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 98%$226Kvolume
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
No 100%$236Kvolume
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Yes 100%$96.4Kvolume
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Yes 100%$45.2Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 81%$123Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.14Mvolume