
Volume
$182K
Txns
8,428
Traders
1,124
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
No 91%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Yes 57%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | didid1 | No / 99.9¢ | -84.53 | $84.4 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +84.53 | $84.4 | |
| 3mo | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +484.03 | $0.48 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.8¢ | +6,421.32 | $6.41K | |
| 3mo | ears | No / 99.9¢ | -844.67 | $844 | |
| 3mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.50 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.47 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x53dDC788DD21C0b585ddc5eDD716D08d776C96e4-1774432904925 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4,971.65 | $9.94 | |
| 3mo | 0x53dDC788DD21C0b585ddc5eDD716D08d776C96e4-1774432904925 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +84.54 | $0.17 | |
| 3mo | didid1 | No / 99.8¢ | +84.54 | $84.4 | |
| 3mo | sadgstella | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 3mo | 0x53dDC788DD21C0b585ddc5eDD716D08d776C96e4-1774432904925 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | 0x53dDC788DD21C0b585ddc5eDD716D08d776C96e4-1774432904925 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +82.00 | $0.16 | |
| 3mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.8¢ | +82.00 | $81.8 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.2¢ | -146.22 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -210.20 | $0.42 | |
| 3mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.2¢ | -465.99 | $0.93 | |
| 3mo | 0x53dDC788DD21C0b585ddc5eDD716D08d776C96e4-1774432904925 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +822.41 | $1.64 | |
| 3mo | 0x02dd...0116ef | Yes / 0.2¢ | +18.04 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.2¢ | -18.04 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | ears | No / 99.9¢ | -94.03 | $93.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x02ed...a4c6b4 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -94.03 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | Brpah | Yes / 0.1¢ | -31.30 | $0.03 |
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