
Volume
$31K
Txns
1,753
Traders
336
Fees
$26
Liquidity
$2,574
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | Colala | Yes / 28.0¢ | +4.41 | $1.23 | |
| 12h | kfpanda | Yes / 27.2¢ | -4.41 | $1.2 | |
| 15h | iliabouchouev | No / 54.0¢ | -5.61 | $3.03 | |
| 15h | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +5.61 | $3.09 | |
| 15h | flexer78 | No / 56.0¢ | +10.71 | $6 | |
| 15h | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +8.52 | $4.69 | |
| 15h | haykarabyan | No / 54.6¢ | -19.23 | $10.5 | |
| 1d | bpzejohn | No / 54.0¢ | -5.86 | $3.16 | |
| 1d | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +5.86 | $3.22 | |
| 2d | 0x4416...c2a6a6 | No / 54.0¢ | -6.14 | $3.32 | |
| 2d | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +6.14 | $3.38 | |
| 3d | Colala | Yes / 28.0¢ | +3.57 | $1 | |
| 3d | tessstt | Yes / 27.2¢ | -3.57 | $0.97 | |
| 3d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 45.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.3 | |
| 3d | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.75 | |
| 4d | 0xE8842139D5F4B167a916e17b6d5576A22BF92651-1776883105885 | Yes / 45.0¢ | +4.20 | $1.93 | |
| 4d | BridgeLake | No / 55.0¢ | +4.20 | $2.31 | |
| 4d | babasirin | Yes / 27.2¢ | -25.40 | $6.91 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 28.0¢ | +9.75 | $2.73 | |
| 4d | TraderProMax | Yes / 28.0¢ | +15.65 | $4.38 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 28.0¢ | +4.17 | $1.17 | |
| 5d | 0x52E2e1776B56D91DC31197d8347E032CBD451423-1772989303798 | No / 72.0¢ | +4.17 | $3.03 | |
| 6d | AJSV | Yes / 30.0¢ | +4.34 | $1.3 | |
| 6d | 0x11ae...69bb2f | Yes / 29.0¢ | -4.34 | $1.26 | |
| 6d | TraderProMax | Yes / 50.0¢ | -7.24 | $3.62 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.21Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.86Mvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 88%$65Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$230Kvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$805Kvolume