
Volume
$242K
Txns
7,238
Traders
1,375
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes 100%$132Kvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 100%$141Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 97%$3.32Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 93%$1.96Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 100%$654Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
No 97%$99.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | jjjsaknka | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Shonepancake | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | Srackchills | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | emojiumi | No / 99.9¢ | -363.36 | $363 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -363.36 | $0.36 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | Rehanfw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -23.99 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | Chuchi | No / 99.9¢ | -23.99 | $24 | |
| 7mo | SamaSama | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 7mo | 0xB4E8AeEB83bF71E60C6F35D06ee7e11546F50817-1761920809702 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | STrumpas | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | qaaz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.1¢ | -981.00 | $0.98 | |
| 7mo | ubersirus50 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Ziigmund | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | AnimalEater | Yes / 0.2¢ | -93.10 | $0.19 | |
| 7mo | ciatc | No / 99.8¢ | -121.69 | $121 |
1–25