
Volume
$3K
Txns
257
Traders
73
Fees
$22
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | MythicalScissors | Yes / 13.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.14 | |
| 2h | mao01 | Yes / 12.5¢ | -1.06 | $0.13 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | Yes / 12.5¢ | -24.17 | $3.03 | |
| 2h | MythicalScissors | Yes / 13.0¢ | +24.17 | $3.14 | |
| 2h | ConsensusOfCredibleReporting | Yes / 14.0¢ | +11.08 | $1.55 | |
| 2h | puposalbani | Yes / 14.0¢ | +21.00 | $2.94 | |
| 2h | DeepDitch | Yes / 13.5¢ | -32.08 | $4.34 | |
| 3h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 19.0¢ | +10.83 | $2.06 | |
| 3h | TerranSupremacy | Yes / 17.0¢ | +10.83 | $1.84 | |
| 3h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 82.0¢ | -5.55 | $4.55 | |
| 3h | ultralisk | Yes / 14.0¢ | +10.96 | $1.53 | |
| 3h | DeepDitch | Yes / 16.0¢ | +56.25 | $9 | |
| 3h | Trader50 | Yes / 16.1¢ | -129.42 | $20.8 | |
| 3h | TerranSupremacy | No / 80.0¢ | -5.00 | $4 | |
| 3h | Colala | Yes / 17.0¢ | +30.00 | $5.1 | |
| 4h | zua | No / 69.2¢ | -5.00 | $3.46 | |
| 4h | TerranSupremacy | No / 70.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.5 | |
| 5h | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 76.0¢ | -1.45 | $1.1 | |
| 5h | Rocamado | No / 76.0¢ | +1.45 | $1.11 | |
| 6h | AJSV | No / 68.0¢ | +6.25 | $4.25 | |
| 6h | devkpyc | Yes / 32.0¢ | +6.25 | $2.05 | |
| 6h | Bigggggggg | Yes / 30.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 6h | sabbaco14 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +66.67 | $20.6 | |
| 6h | J25525 | Yes / 30.0¢ | -61.67 | $18.5 | |
| 6h | arbokbro | Yes / 29.0¢ | +7.00 | $2.09 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 92%$1.74Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$2.99Mvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 91%$83.7Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 94%$905Kvolume
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$383Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$183Kvolume