
Volume
$62K
Txns
1,349
Traders
352
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.90 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x01eD5C64d1d8905afd7917d75A5652665f5CcA5f-1751010305759 | No / 99.9¢ | +24.90 | $24.9 | |
| 6mo | rx8549o867549 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -6.57 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Makise.Kurisu | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.16 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -8.46 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | mamba | No / 99.7¢ | -600.00 | $598 | |
| 6mo | d2600 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | acal | Yes / 0.5¢ | -267.30 | $1.34 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -9.82 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.3¢ | -2.69 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Bearpp | No / 99.9¢ | +2.64 | $2.64 | |
| 6mo | oggogogo008 | No / 99.9¢ | -2.64 | $2.64 | |
| 6mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.66 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.98 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,898.77 | $1.9K | |
| 6mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.88 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.19 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.83 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.59 | $0.05 |
1–25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 74%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot…
No 97%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot…
No 100%$0volume
Will Company A be the largest company in the world by market cap on June…
No 100%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January…
Yes 100%$0volume