
Volume
$73K
Txns
1,705
Traders
355
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 10, 2025
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2025 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record. Note: If November 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2025 is provided by NASA by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 77%$1.58Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 65%$1.37Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 90%$1.47Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 93%$2.47Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 57%$855Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
No 98%$616Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | bananito | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | Mattia.Ilenotti | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | cr1ne | No / 99.9¢ | +1,444.88 | $1.44K | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -344.88 | $345 | |
| 6mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -205.83 | $206 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +497.97 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -297.20 | $297 | |
| 6mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.03 | $0 | |
| 6mo | piercemorganz | No / 99.9¢ | +30.03 | $30 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | davidbower | No / 99.9¢ | +25.02 | $25 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.02 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | montereycasa | No / 99.9¢ | +15.01 | $15 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.01 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | 25oodksmsss09 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -101.00 | $0.1 | |
| 6mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +87.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 9... | Yes / 0.7¢ | -1.38 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0test | No / 99.5¢ | +8.62 | $8.58 | |
| 6mo | vbm | No / 99.5¢ | -10.00 | $9.95 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.38 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -90.38 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 |
1–25