Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which a government funding bill is passed by Congress, defined as the date on which the second chamber (either the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate) passes the bill. This market will resolve to “No Bill passed by Jan 31” if no government funding bill is passed by Congress by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying bill must actually pass both chambers of Congress (the US House and the US Senate). Passage of separate or different bills will not qualify; it must be the same piece of legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.