Will Moonshot have the best AI model for math on March 31?
ResolvedVolume
$21K
Txns
1,077
Traders
128
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
Volume
$21K
Txns
1,077
Traders
128
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the highest “Mathematics Average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the highest LiveBench Mathematics Average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “Mathematics Average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the LiveBench AI leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
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No 100%$189Kvolume
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Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -34.97 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | polik2 | No / 99.9¢ | -34.97 | $34.9 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +213.79 | $0.21 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -313.79 | $0.31 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +120.82 | $0.12 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +120.82 | $121 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.25 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +5.25 | $5.24 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.49 | $0.03 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +31.49 | $31.5 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +128.00 | $0.13 | |
| 2mo | nrnn | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | anciente | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 2mo | OmaJane | No / 99.9¢ | +128.00 | $128 | |
| 2mo | human.bean | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.50 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.50 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | Wojtek | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.31 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +188.94 | $189 | |
| 2mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | HappyAlpha | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.63 | $0.01 |
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