Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?
ResolvedVolume
$226K
Txns
6,737
Traders
177
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 15, 2025
Volume
$226K
Txns
6,737
Traders
177
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 15, 2025
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in June 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$20.1Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.64Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 64%$4.32Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +495.68 | $495 | |
| 11mo | just-andrew | No / 99.9¢ | -495.68 | $495 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +0.17 | $0.17 | |
| 11mo | 0x28cd...60d99a | No / 99.9¢ | -0.17 | $0.17 | |
| 11mo | huikin | No / 99.9¢ | -3.22 | $3.22 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +3.22 | $3.22 | |
| 11mo | pinklepunk | No / 99.9¢ | -31.05 | $31 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +31.05 | $31 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +455.00 | $455 | |
| 11mo | nonkenny90 | No / 99.9¢ | -455.00 | $455 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 11mo | PsychoLobster | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +315.49 | $315 | |
| 11mo | Intendant-Jean-Talon | No / 99.9¢ | -751.00 | $750 | |
| 11mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -435.51 | $0.44 | |
| 11mo | willi98 | No / 99.6¢ | -390.00 | $388 | |
| 11mo | Ban4ik | No / 99.6¢ | +390.00 | $388 | |
| 11mo | draker | No / 99.0¢ | -24.99 | $24.7 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +19.99 | $19.8 | |
| 11mo | NoMoreMister | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | Yes / 1.0¢ | +198.00 | $1.98 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +198.00 | $196 | |
| 11mo | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | cigarettes | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 |
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