
Volume
$119K
Txns
8,104
Traders
2,304
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | flycococo1212 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.89 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.41 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.01 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | MyLige | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,111.00 | $1.11 | |
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.14 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.71 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.93 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.73 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +369.31 | $0.37 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.72 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.74 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | elmcap2 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,133.07 | $2.13K | |
| 6mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +59.11 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.46 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.95 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.07 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.89 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Liamyxy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 0.4¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | fgdhWERG3434RHE | No / 99.6¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 |
1–25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Yes 74%$0volume
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Ar…
No 99%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot…
No 97%$0volume
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot…
No 100%$0volume
Will Company A be the largest company in the world by market cap on June…
No 100%$0volume