
Volume
$27K
Txns
332
Traders
99
Fees
$2
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +268.84 | $0.54 | |
| 1mo | JamesBonder007 | No / 99.8¢ | +268.84 | $268 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +22.04 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | 0xE19aEe2B9136E31e63faeaDCd8996D7ff05bF4bc-1733156806171 | No / 99.8¢ | +22.04 | $22 | |
| 1mo | WhenYouFindMe | No / 99.8¢ | +162.00 | $162 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +162.00 | $0.32 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +26.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 0x50Be16247B62626D8C9a5d39296910c2C70FC133-1734203415597 | No / 99.8¢ | +26.05 | $26 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +11.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 0x29dfAf978eFb400add9789D18d21aB541E22B5f4-1733762461700 | No / 99.8¢ | +11.02 | $11 | |
| 1mo | 0x9F835ACF401BA5fa40c1C1C15958DE36A4FeB17F-1735299547795 | No / 99.8¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 53asdad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.48 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x4339...6f6813 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.08 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 53asdad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -13.60 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.56 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -48.56 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.2¢ | -6.66 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 53asdad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -7.08 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.40 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | 53asdad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -8.06 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 0.2¢ | -29.47 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 53asdad | Yes / 0.2¢ | -7.08 | $0.01 |
1–25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 93%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 93%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 93%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 99%$0volume