
Volume
$4K
Txns
663
Traders
96
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,367
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | bjprolo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.21 | $0.03 | |
| 6d | flexer78 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.21 | $0.03 | |
| 13d | bjprolo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -67.78 | $0.07 | |
| 13d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +67.78 | $0.07 | |
| 21d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.01 | $0 | |
| 21d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.01 | $0 | |
| 22d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.21 | $0 | |
| 22d | donthackme | No / 99.8¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 22d | Anon321321321 | No / 99.8¢ | +34.00 | $33.9 | |
| 22d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +30.79 | $0.06 | |
| 22d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 22d | Corlys | No / 99.8¢ | +14.60 | $14.6 | |
| 22d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +40.00 | $0.08 | |
| 22d | mildwindow27 | No / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 22d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.60 | $0.03 | |
| 22d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.61 | $0.03 | |
| 22d | donthackme | No / 99.8¢ | +14.61 | $14.6 | |
| 24d | 2kparabellum | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.42 | |
| 24d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.4¢ | -63.02 | $0.25 | |
| 24d | 0x56a8...6deea2 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -11.04 | $0.06 | |
| 24d | 123987456 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -11.50 | $0.03 | |
| 24d | 69dsfs | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | 69dsfs | Yes / 0.5¢ | -9.44 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +63.02 | $0.13 | |
| 1mo | Anon321321 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -63.02 | $0.12 |
1–25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb…
Yes 77%$0volume
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb…
No 80%$0volume
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by Decemb…
Yes 64%$0volume
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 86%$0volume
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by Decemb…
No 81%$0volume