
Volume
$54K
Txns
1,279
Traders
268
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$220Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$119Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.23Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.87Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Yes 100%$48.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -28.07 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.07 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 7mo | robert152 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.91 | $0 | |
| 7mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | klonexx | No / 99.9¢ | +13.91 | $13.9 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.73 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -43.78 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.75 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.30 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -9.23 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | -51.46 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -66.94 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -32.30 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | yhulp | No / 99.9¢ | -388.94 | $389 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -36.45 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | ShackCHills | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | untaken | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 7mo | ShackCHills | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | EdwardLewis | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 |
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