
Volume
$72K
Txns
1,454
Traders
405
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
On September 25, Mira Murati announced she was leaving OpenAI (https://x.com/miramurati/status/1839025700009030027). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mira Murati announces she is joining Anthropic by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Murati announces she is joining another organization in a full time capacity, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement made within this market's timeframe will be sufficient for a resolution regardless of whether Murati actually joins the company she says she will. The primary resolution source will be statements from Murati.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.99 | $0 | |
| 1y | PolyFi-662 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.99 | $0.99 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +799.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Tehgameguy | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | No / 99.8¢ | -30.14 | $30.1 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -32.71 | $32.6 | |
| 1y | Chad-Wasp | No / 99.8¢ | -9,501.77 | $9.48K | |
| 1y | vocifer | No / 99.8¢ | +10,563.62 | $10.5K | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.2¢ | +999.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | iouyyr | No / 99.7¢ | +2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -2.61 | $2.6 | |
| 1y | kilootry45 | No / 99.7¢ | +4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -4.01 | $4 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -7.02 | $7 | |
| 1y | tutrtoj213 | No / 99.7¢ | +7.02 | $7 | |
| 1y | venoosix | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | venoosix | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | vanqurtyl23 | No / 99.7¢ | +6.02 | $6 | |
| 1y | Skip-Earthwax | No / 99.7¢ | -7.02 | $7 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume