
Volume
$129
Txns
30
Traders
16
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$1,306
Ends
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Trades
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 87%$0volume
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No 84%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 92%$0volume
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.80 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | graynotebook19 | No / 99.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +24.20 | $0.05 | |
| 1d | DkOYL | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3.70 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.70 | $0.01 | |
| 1d | DkOYL | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.30 | $0 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.30 | $0 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | Said-Outage-Spotter5 | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +8.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 99.8¢ | +8.00 | $7.98 | |
| 1d | graynotebook19 | No / 99.8¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 1d | e46m3 | No / 99.8¢ | +12.80 | $12.8 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +12.80 | $0.03 | |
| 1d | aHjCz | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1d | 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 2.3¢ | +1.40 | $0.03 | |
| 2d | DkOYL | No / 97.7¢ | +1.40 | $1.37 | |
| 2d | Mojito9 | Yes / 2.2¢ | +6.15 | $0.14 | |
| 2d | nonono001 | No / 97.8¢ | +6.15 | $6.02 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 2.1¢ | +7.68 | $0.16 | |
| 2d | daniel122134 | No / 97.9¢ | +7.68 | $7.53 | |
| 4d | mildwindow27 | Yes / 2.8¢ | -7.56 | $0.21 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 2.8¢ | +15.06 | $0.45 |
1–25