
Volume
$781K
Txns
4,432
Traders
419
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 5 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | MarekyMarek | No / 99.9¢ | +344.70 | $344 | |
| 1y | Weeze | No / 99.9¢ | -344.70 | $344 | |
| 1y | endo2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -840.38 | $0.84 | |
| 1y | qrpenc | Yes / 0.1¢ | -22.76 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -49.01 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Jocobe104 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,201.54 | $1.2K | |
| 1y | BiggieChungus | Yes / 0.3¢ | -269.39 | $0.81 | |
| 1y | Sakuya | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -62.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -256.19 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -164.00 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -156.54 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -92.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -154.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | ufo51 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -39.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -154.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -115.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -66.01 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -140.10 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | corinthians | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | qrpenc | Yes / 0.1¢ | -53.16 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | jabbakito | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 63%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31,…
Yes 100%$0volume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
Yes 57%$0volume
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?
Yes 67%$0volume