Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 9, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if someone other than Luís Marques Mendes becomes the favorite in the "Portugal Presidential Election" (https://polymarket.com/event/portugal-presidential-election?) for any four-hour period ending by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Someone other than Luís Marques Mendes will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if another individual is ahead of Luís Marques Mendes in a majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Portugal Presidential Election" market, which can be viewed using the below listed bar charts or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. More tracking links will be provided if necessary. António José Seguro: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-seguro-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election João Cotrim Figueiredo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-figueiredo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Henrique Gouveia e Melo: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-henrique-gouveia-e-melo-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election André Ventura: https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-ventura-flip-mendes-in-portugal-presidential-election Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.