Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$4K
Txns
311
Traders
103
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,369
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$4K
Txns
311
Traders
103
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$3,369
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 0.2¢ | +223.50 | $0.45 | |
| 1d | kcnyekchIU | No / 99.6¢ | -8.50 | $8.47 | |
| 1d | obamaosama | Yes / 0.3¢ | -952.67 | $2.51 | |
| 1d | 1in1000 | No / 99.6¢ | -60.00 | $59.8 | |
| 1d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1d | Olka | Yes / 0.3¢ | +150.00 | $0.45 | |
| 1d | 0xc036865BcbE630D35a1a8C94E2f40A4e4212B284-1772422767667 | No / 99.6¢ | -2.17 | $2.16 | |
| 1d | Olka | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1d | BSS37 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1d | Olka | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1d | 0x6936ea0Adf28Bf433A62c04dcf98Ade66Cca496D-1772422880994 | No / 99.6¢ | -8.50 | $8.47 | |
| 2d | 47fe | No / 99.6¢ | +8.03 | $8 | |
| 2d | 0xc036865BcbE630D35a1a8C94E2f40A4e4212B284-1772422767667 | No / 99.6¢ | -8.03 | $8 | |
| 2d | 47fe | No / 99.6¢ | +1.79 | $1.78 | |
| 2d | 0xc036865BcbE630D35a1a8C94E2f40A4e4212B284-1772422767667 | No / 99.6¢ | -1.79 | $1.78 | |
| 3d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +40.20 | $0.2 | |
| 3d | beth997 | No / 99.5¢ | +40.20 | $40 | |
| 4d | sportkingzer | No / 99.1¢ | -1.29 | $1.28 | |
| 4d | 53asdad | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.29 | $0.01 | |
| 4d | sportkingzer | No / 99.5¢ | +1.30 | $1.29 | |
| 4d | Biver52 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1.30 | $0.01 | |
| 6d | 53asdad | Yes / 0.7¢ | +8.06 | $0.06 | |
| 6d | frostyhopper | No / 99.3¢ | +8.06 | $8 | |
| 6d | 0xea6b...04988d | No / 99.3¢ | +5.04 | $5 | |
| 6d | 53asdad | Yes / 0.7¢ | +5.04 | $0.04 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.2Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.86Mvolume
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Yes 86%$64.5Kvolume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 95%$1.58Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$803Kvolume