
Volume
$105
Txns
12
Traders
7
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$143
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h | LornaPredicts | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.00 | $0.02 | |
| 13h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 99.8¢ | +9.00 | $8.98 | |
| 13h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 | |
| 13h | bjprolo | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 21h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 3.0¢ | +6.00 | $0.18 | |
| 21h | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 97.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.83 | |
| 1d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +19.00 | $0.76 | |
| 1d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 96.0¢ | +19.00 | $18.3 | |
| 2d | manbo3 | No / 95.0¢ | +10.00 | $9.52 | |
| 2d | Mojito9 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 5.0¢ | +55.45 | $2.77 | |
| 2d | manbo3 | No / 95.0¢ | +55.45 | $52.8 |
1–12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 86%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 85%$0volume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2…
Yes 96%$0volume
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
No 53%$0volume