Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?

A snap legislative election will take place in Portugal on 18 May 2025 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 17th Legislature. This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Portugal following the election. Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Portugal is instated by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Portugal, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.