
Volume
$12K
Txns
147
Traders
57
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the number of named typhoons (i.e., storms assigned an official name) that occur in the Northwest Pacific basin between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, according to the official list published on the Digital Typhoon website by Japan’s National Institute of Informatics. (see: https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en) A “named typhoon” refers to any system officially assigned a name by the meteorological agencies responsible for the Western North Pacific basin. Only storms appearing on the 2025 list on the Digital Typhoon website will count. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by Nov 30, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until January 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | ChiangWan-an | No / 99.9¢ | +28.00 | $28 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | pmtomoon | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +482.80 | $0.48 | |
| 6mo | Newbiao | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,157.00 | $1.16 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | StraightFire | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | ShackCHills | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 6mo | NO1Amm | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 6mo | Allinnothing | No / 99.9¢ | +3,603.80 | $3.6K | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | ironplayer | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 6mo | ChiangWan-an | No / 99.9¢ | +200.20 | $200 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +107.20 | $0.11 | |
| 6mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +490.32 | $0.49 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +267.00 | $0.27 | |
| 6mo | 0x465A35c281148a2f7AF8b92d2a1F4da03742CA63-1736129497857 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 6mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.68 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +144.00 | $0.14 |
1–25
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No 70%$335Kvolume
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 78%$212Kvolume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 69%$3.14Kvolume
Category 5 hurricane hits US before election?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Yes 100%$68.5Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
No 100%$145Kvolume