Will Lega receive more than 9% of votes?

The 2024 European Parliament election in Italy is scheduled to be held on June 8-9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Lega (League, Lega per Salvini Premier, League for Salvini Premier) receives over 9% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.