
Volume
$16K
Txns
185
Traders
52
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 1, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2024 shows an increase of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.29°C (inclusive) for June 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for June 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for June 2024 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 99.0¢ | -100.00 | $99 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -100.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | +500.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | No / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 1y | undertaker | No / 99.0¢ | +18.41 | $18.2 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | +18.41 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 1.1¢ | -1,081.59 | $11.8 | |
| 1y | Felelony | Yes / 2.0¢ | +100.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | Yes / 1.0¢ | +981.59 | $9.82 | |
| 1y | m30w | Yes / 8.0¢ | +100.00 | $8 | |
| 1y | Felelony | No / 92.0¢ | +100.00 | $92 | |
| 1y | Wojtek | No / 84.0¢ | +100.00 | $84 | |
| 1y | AiBets | Yes / 16.0¢ | +100.00 | $16 | |
| 1y | Exl | Yes / 94.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.7 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 6.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | MaxVision | Yes / 18.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $180 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 18.0¢ | -1,000.00 | $180 | |
| 1y | IamBack | No / 86.0¢ | +116.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 14.0¢ | +116.00 | $16.2 | |
| 1y | Rdl | Yes / 14.0¢ | -20.00 | $2.8 | |
| 1y | lesse | Yes / 14.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.8 | |
| 1y | Goodygood | Yes / 15.0¢ | +100.00 | $15 | |
| 1y | IamBack | No / 84.4¢ | +140.00 | $118 | |
| 1y | Rdl | Yes / 17.0¢ | +40.00 | $6.8 | |
| 2y | Alternates | No / 71.0¢ | +1.72 | $1.22 |
1–25
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
No 41%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
No 80%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
No 87%$0volume
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
No 78%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
No 96%$0volume
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
No 93%$0volume