
Volume
$157K
Txns
2,669
Traders
684
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Mulaney fights one or more individuals below the age of 18 by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Choreographed stunts, competitive games (e.g., dodgeball, trivia, or card games), slapstick humor, stunts or comedic sketches will not qualify. Performances which are possibly staged but include elements of real physical fighting such as punching or wrestling will qualify, as long as they are not obviously slapstick/stunts. The primary resolution source will be video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$489Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$358Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.84Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$257Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
No 93%$198Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +9.97 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.3¢ | +90.03 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.1¢ | +90.03 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.1¢ | +9.97 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.1¢ | +90.03 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +9.97 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.1¢ | +9.97 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +90.03 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +9.97 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +2,190.03 | $2.19 | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +90.03 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,190.03 | $2.19K | |
| 1y | Razirback | No / 0.2¢ | +90.03 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +9.97 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | No / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 |
1–25