
Volume
$5K
Txns
111
Traders
30
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Joe Manchin has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Joe Manchin or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | monkeyboy77 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +55.00 | $54.5 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.0¢ | -55.00 | $54.5 | |
| 2y | LlamaEnjoyer | No / 1.0¢ | +500.00 | $5 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 99.0¢ | +500.00 | $495 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 45.0¢ | +100.00 | $45 | |
| 2y | SonOfDomer | No / 55.0¢ | +100.00 | $55 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 45.0¢ | +100.00 | $45 | |
| 2y | SonOfDomer | No / 55.0¢ | +100.00 | $55 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 63.0¢ | +105.00 | $66.2 | |
| 2y | Charmie | Yes / 34.0¢ | -140.16 | $47.7 | |
| 2y | 50Whence | Yes / 35.3¢ | +260.21 | $91.8 | |
| 2y | Navigatingtheamericanhealthcaresystem | Yes / 35.0¢ | -15.05 | $5.27 | |
| 2y | Charmie | Yes / 31.0¢ | +140.17 | $43.5 | |
| 2y | 0xaa34642D279dC6A1E2d2DDF9Dcb1e737176166fb-1720017288474 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -245.17 | $76 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 31.0¢ | +105.00 | $32.5 | |
| 2y | asi-356 | Yes / 31.0¢ | +0.13 | $0.04 | |
| 2y | 0xaa34642D279dC6A1E2d2DDF9Dcb1e737176166fb-1720017288474 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -0.13 | $0.04 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | Yes / 31.0¢ | +105.00 | $32.5 | |
| 2y | 0xaa34642D279dC6A1E2d2DDF9Dcb1e737176166fb-1720017288474 | Yes / 31.0¢ | -105.00 | $32.5 | |
| 2y | ImJustKen | No / 50.0¢ | +10.00 | $5 | |
| 2y | DelawareBay | Yes / 50.0¢ | +10.00 | $5 | |
| 2y | Navigatingtheamericanhealthcaresystem | Yes / 79.0¢ | -0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | zhangcong06 | Yes / 79.0¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | BetterFish | No / 20.0¢ | +10.00 | $2 | |
| 2y | Swatbarbie | Yes / 80.0¢ | +10.00 | $8 |
1–25