
Volume
$11K
Txns
317
Traders
97
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 2, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any Syrian embassy or consulate on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds o…
No 100%$0volume
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Israel strike Syria on Saturday August 30?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | CubaLibra | No / 99.9¢ | +42.90 | $42.9 | |
| 11mo | 0xdcbBA2057fe7935B65F9a30950A1081064CFfd36-1729291546217 | No / 99.9¢ | -47.90 | $47.9 | |
| 11mo | CubaLibra | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | CubaLibra | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | SweepSheep | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 11mo | doublejoker | No / 99.9¢ | -19.61 | $19.6 | |
| 11mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +19.61 | $19.6 | |
| 11mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 11mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 11mo | StardewValley | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Ahpo | No / 98.8¢ | +40.00 | $39.5 | |
| 11mo | StardewValley | Yes / 1.2¢ | +40.00 | $0.48 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 98.7¢ | -77.71 | $76.7 | |
| 11mo | StardewValley | No / 98.6¢ | -46.30 | $45.7 | |
| 11mo | Ahpo | No / 98.7¢ | +124.01 | $122 | |
| 11mo | greengasper | Yes / 10.0¢ | -2.04 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | mihispecial | No / 90.0¢ | -2.04 | $1.84 | |
| 11mo | StardewValley | No / 97.8¢ | -1.02 | $1 | |
| 11mo | mihispecial | No / 97.8¢ | +1.02 | $1 | |
| 11mo | StardewValley | No / 97.8¢ | -30.67 | $30 | |
| 11mo | 0x97cc...95bbbf | No / 97.8¢ | +30.67 | $30 | |
| 11mo | mihispecial | No / 97.8¢ | +1.02 | $1 |
1–25