Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
ResolvedVolume
$884K
Txns
4,675
Traders
894
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
Volume
$884K
Txns
4,675
Traders
894
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military action against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between May 20, 10:00 PM ET, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 82%$28.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.13Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 96%$4.38Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 56%$27.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Yes 100%$7.41Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | NotAPlank | No / 99.9¢ | -21.50 | $21.5 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +21.50 | $21.5 | |
| 1y | davimirtillino | No / 99.9¢ | -10.39 | $10.4 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +10.39 | $10.4 | |
| 1y | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +1,193.00 | $1.19K | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,193.00 | $1.19 | |
| 1y | Gluckyklucky | No / 99.9¢ | +1,316.45 | $1.32K | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1y | HNIC | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | laginha2025 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +194.45 | $0.19 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +202.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | trashtier | No / 99.9¢ | +23.97 | $23.9 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.55 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.42 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.4¢ | -2.31 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0xc9F27F901Baa3c940042AA9bd494c00EC32e7BC3-1728987762433 | No / 99.6¢ | -2.31 | $2.3 | |
| 1y | superidol | No / 99.9¢ | +28.47 | $28.4 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +28.47 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | 252 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +248.11 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | gandalf | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,958.43 | $6.96 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +7,206.54 | $7.2K |
1–25