Will India’s Unemployment Rate increase between December 2025 and January 2026?

This is a market about the monthly variation in India’s overall unemployment rate (all-India/overall, persons aged 15 and above) as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in the monthly Periodic Labor Force Survey (PLFS). This market will resolve to “Up” if the Indian overall unemployment rate is higher in January than in the last published month. This market will resolve to “No Change” if the Indian unemployment rate is the same in January as it was in the last published month. This market will resolve to “Down” if the Indian Unemployment Rate is lower in January than in the last published month. The resolution sources for this market are the MoSPI Monthly Bulletins of the Periodic Labor Force Survey for the relevant months, released every month at https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases The next data release is scheduled for February 16, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data made after this release will not count toward this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1766406009096-ARCupdatedtill20November2025.pdf If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve to “No Change”.