Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of India officially announces a full halt to imports of Russian crude oil by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Statements referencing a partial reduction, pause, or review of purchases will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Government of India.